Category Archives: Model Talk

Politics Podcast: How To Judge Our Forecasts

By Nate Silver and Galen Druke and Nate Silver and Galen Druke

 

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In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver explains how to judge the performance of the forecast, given that we expect the less likely scenario to happen sometimes. Nate also responds to listener questions, including explaining how all of the data in the forecast is collected.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes, the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen.
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast publishes Monday evenings, with occasional special episodes throughout the week. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes. Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.


Politics Podcast: Two Forecasts Diverged In A Wood

By Nate Silver and Galen Druke and Nate Silver and Galen Druke

 

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In this installment of “Model Talk” on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver explores different hypotheses for why the House and Senate forecasts have moved in opposite directions in recent days. He also discusses the different types of uncertainty at play in the election and takes questions from listeners.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes, the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen.
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast publishes Monday evenings, with occasional special episodes throughout the week. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes. Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.